West Germany vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
4 - 0
URU
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
0 - 0
ARG
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
5 - 0
SUI
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUN
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
75%
14%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |