West Germany vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 3
BRD
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
BRD
5 - 1
NOR
71%
16%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BRD
3 - 0
PDS
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRD
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
BRD
3 - 2
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
2 - 2
ESP
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
TUR
1 - 0
ESP
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1954 |
ESP
4 - 1
TUR
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1953 |
TUR
2 - 2
YUG
43%
22%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1953 |
SUI
1 - 2
TUR
51%
19%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |