West Germany vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
6 - 0
MEX
83%
11%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 0
POL
75%
14%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 1
BRD
28%
27%
45%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
BRD
0 - 1
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
TUN
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 0
TUN
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
TUN
0 - 4
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |