West Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
BRD
3 - 4
CSK
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
BRD
2 - 1
DDR
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
DDR
3 - 0
BRD
16%
18%
66%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
BRD
1 - 2
BRA
41%
23%
37%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
BRD
5 - 1
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
SWE
3 - 3
POL
83%
11%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
NOR
1 - 1
SWE
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1964 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
28%
22%
51%
|
87 | 44 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1964 |
SWE
4 - 1
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1964 |
SUN
3 - 1
SWE
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |