West Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1966 |
NIR
0 - 2
BRD
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
IRL
0 - 4
BRD
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
NED
2 - 4
BRD
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CYP
0 - 6
BRD
40%
23%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
BRD
4 - 1
AUT
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
ROU
2 - 0
POR
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
TUR
2 - 1
ROU
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CSK
3 - 1
ROU
73%
15%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
POR
2 - 1
ROU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
ROU
1 - 0
CSK
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |