West Germany vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
BRD
4 - 0
BGR
88%
9%
2%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
BRD
8 - 0
ALB
96%
3%
1%
|
94 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
AUT
1 - 3
BRD
29%
26%
45%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
BRD
7 - 1
FIN
90%
9%
2%
|
94 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
POL
0 - 2
BRD
33%
26%
42%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
GRC
1 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1981 |
BGR
5 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
ISR
4 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
POR
1 - 2
SWE
54%
26%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |