West Germany vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
8.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
5 - 2
BGR
81%
11%
7%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
2 - 1
MAR
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1970 |
BRD
1 - 0
YUG
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
BRD
3 - 2
SCO
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
BGR
0 - 1
BRD
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
PER
3 - 0
MAR
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
PER
3 - 2
BGR
65%
19%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1970 |
PER
3 - 0
SLV
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
PER
4 - 2
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |