West Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
TUR
0 - 2
BRD
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
4 - 2
BRD
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
4 - 0
URU
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1966 |
BRD
2 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
BGR
4 - 2
NOR
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 4
SWE
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
NOR
1 - 6
ENG
18%
20%
62%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 1
NOR
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |