West Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
13.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BRD
3 - 0
PDS
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1953 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRD
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
BRD
3 - 2
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1952 |
SWE
2 - 0
BRD
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1952 |
YUG
3 - 1
BRD
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
PDS
0 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
4 - 0
NED
65%
17%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
FIN
1 - 4
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |