West Germany vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1971 |
BRD
3 - 1
BGR
78%
14%
7%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
BRD
31%
27%
43%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1971 |
SWE
1 - 0
BRD
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 7
BRD
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1971 |
BRD
2 - 0
ALB
85%
11%
5%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 1
DDR
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 1
DDR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1971 |
MEX
1 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
MEX
0 - 0
SUN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |