West Germany vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
BRD
3 - 0
MAS
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BRD
3 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
10%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
BRD
2 - 1
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1972 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUN
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
BRD
0 - 0
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
MAR
0 - 0
USA
67%
17%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 1
COD
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 1
SDN
74%
15%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
CGO
1 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
27%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
NGA
3 - 0
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |