West Germany vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 3
BRD
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
3 - 4
BRD
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1960 |
ISL
0 - 5
BRD
37%
23%
41%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1960 |
FIN
3 - 2
BRD
25%
20%
56%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
POL
3 - 1
BRD
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1961 |
GRC
2 - 1
NIR
56%
20%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1961 |
ITA
3 - 2
NIR
78%
13%
8%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1961 |
NIR
1 - 5
WAL
54%
21%
26%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
SCO
5 - 2
NIR
72%
17%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
3 - 4
BRD
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |