West Germany vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1982 |
BRD
1 - 0
AUT
84%
11%
6%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1982 |
BRD
4 - 1
CHI
89%
8%
4%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1982 |
BRD
1 - 2
ALG
91%
7%
3%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1982 |
NOR
2 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
94 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
BRD
2 - 1
CSK
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1982 |
ENG
1 - 0
KWT
84%
11%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1982 |
ENG
2 - 0
CSK
73%
16%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1982 |
ENG
3 - 1
FRA
72%
16%
12%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1982 |
FIN
1 - 4
ENG
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1982 |
ISL
1 - 1
ENG
13%
23%
64%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | -1 |