West Germany vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
3 - 1
PER
81%
11%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
5 - 2
BGR
81%
11%
7%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
2 - 1
MAR
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1970 |
BRD
1 - 0
YUG
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
BRD
3 - 2
SCO
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1970 |
ENG
1 - 0
CSK
79%
12%
8%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
1 - 0
ENG
64%
18%
18%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
ENG
1 - 0
ROU
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
ECU
0 - 2
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1970 |
COL
0 - 4
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |