EC Qualifying Etapas finales Final
Global 3-1
West Germany vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ENG
1 - 3
BRD
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
HUN
0 - 2
BRD
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
BRD
0 - 0
POL
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
POL
1 - 3
BRD
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
BRD
5 - 0
MEX
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ENG
1 - 3
BRD
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
GRC
0 - 2
ENG
20%
24%
56%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
ENG
1 - 1
SUI
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
SUI
2 - 3
ENG
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
ENG
3 - 1
SCO
79%
14%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |