West Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
1 - 1
COL
80%
15%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
5 - 1
UAE
82%
13%
5%
|
95 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
4 - 1
YUG
67%
20%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
BRD
2 - 1
WAL
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
BRD
6 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
3%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 1
NED
39%
28%
33%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1990 |
ENG
0 - 0
NED
59%
24%
18%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1990 |
NED
1 - 1
EGY
70%
20%
10%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
YUG
0 - 2
NED
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
AUT
3 - 2
NED
41%
28%
31%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |