West Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
12.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
YUG
3 - 1
BRD
70%
16%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BRD
1 - 3
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
HUN
2 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
6 - 1
AUT
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
PDS
1 - 2
NED
59%
18%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
51%
20%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1955 |
NED
4 - 1
SUI
53%
20%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 0
NED
55%
18%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |