West Germany vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1961 |
BRD
2 - 1
NIR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 3
BRD
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
3 - 4
BRD
43%
22%
35%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1960 |
ISL
0 - 5
BRD
37%
23%
41%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1960 |
FIN
3 - 2
BRD
25%
20%
56%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1961 |
NIR
2 - 0
GRC
61%
17%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
GRC
2 - 1
NIR
56%
20%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 3
BRD
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
DEN
7 - 2
GRC
67%
16%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 5
YUG
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |