West Germany vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1954 |
HUN
2 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
6 - 1
AUT
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
2 - 0
YUG
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1954 |
BRD
7 - 2
TUR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
8 - 3
BRD
87%
8%
5%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
FRA
3 - 2
MEX
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
YUG
1 - 0
FRA
75%
14%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 3
FRA
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
FRA
1 - 3
ITA
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1953 |
FRA
8 - 0
LUX
76%
13%
12%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |