West Germany vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
2 - 0
DEN
81%
12%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 1
YUG
69%
19%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUI
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRD
56%
23%
21%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
65%
19%
15%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1988 |
DEN
2 - 3
ESP
59%
21%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
SUI
1 - 1
ESP
29%
29%
43%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 3
SWE
55%
25%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
ESP
0 - 0
SCO
61%
23%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |