West Germany vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
BRD
1 - 1
YUG
51%
21%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1959 |
BRD
0 - 3
POL
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
BRD
2 - 1
FIN
82%
10%
7%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1959 |
BRD
7 - 0
NED
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
EGY
2 - 1
BRD
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1960 |
FRA
6 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
CHI
4 - 2
ARG
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |