West Germany vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
BRD
1 - 0
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
BRD
2 - 1
ENG
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
BRD
1 - 1
WAL
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
BRD
4 - 1
SUI
88%
10%
2%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
BRD
2 - 1
ITA
63%
22%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
FRA
1 - 0
BRA
25%
27%
48%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
8 - 0
BOL
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 2
FRA
77%
17%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
0 - 0
YUG
71%
19%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |