West Germany vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
BRD
5 - 1
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
YUG
2 - 3
BRD
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
1 - 0
BRD
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 1
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
BRA
22%
21%
57%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
FRA
2 - 3
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
5 - 1
BRA
22%
22%
57%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
18%
21%
62%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |