West Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
ALB
0 - 2
BRD
4%
15%
82%
|
94 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1981 |
BRA
4 - 1
BRD
51%
25%
24%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1981 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRD
38%
26%
36%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1980 |
BGR
1 - 3
BRD
16%
24%
60%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
BRD
4 - 1
FRA
77%
15%
7%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
ALB
0 - 1
AUT
18%
27%
55%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1980 |
AUT
5 - 0
ALB
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1980 |
AUT
3 - 1
HUN
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
AUT
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |