West Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1929 |
BRD
1 - 1
SCO
47%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1931 |
AUT
5 - 0
SCO
57%
21%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
AUT
0 - 0
HUN
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
AUT
2 - 1
CSK
57%
20%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
AUT
4 - 1
SWE
56%
20%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |