West Germany vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1979 |
ISL
1 - 3
BRD
3%
15%
82%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1979 |
IRL
1 - 3
BRD
19%
25%
56%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
WAL
0 - 2
BRD
19%
26%
56%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TUR
0 - 0
BRD
15%
24%
61%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
MLT
0 - 0
BRD
4%
14%
82%
|
93 | 57 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1979 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
50%
23%
27%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1979 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1979 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
71%
17%
13%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARG
32%
27%
42%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1979 |
ARG
1 - 2
FIF
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 10 | 81 | 0 |