Albania vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
POR
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
DEN
0 - 0
ALB
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 0
FRA
9%
20%
71%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
ARM
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 0
ALB
80%
16%
5%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 1
SRB
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SRB
2 - 0
ARM
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 0
SRB
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SRB
4 - 1
AZE
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
SRB
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |