Albania vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 0
ALB
79%
16%
5%
|
76 | 96 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
LUX
2 - 1
ALB
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
FRA
10%
22%
68%
|
76 | 96 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 2
MNE
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
ARG
4 - 0
ALB
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 97 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ROU
2 - 2
BLR
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ROU
0 - 0
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 2
ROU
11%
21%
68%
|
91 | 39 | 52 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 1
ROU
13%
22%
65%
|
91 | 37 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROU
41%
27%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |