Albania vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
DDR
2 - 0
ALB
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
FIN
1 - 0
ALB
48%
21%
31%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ALB
3 - 0
TUR
42%
23%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1971 |
BRD
2 - 0
ALB
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
SUN
2 - 0
ROU
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
FIN
1 - 1
ROU
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
ROU
1 - 1
AUT
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1972 |
ROU
3 - 3
ITA
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |