Albania vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 0
FIN
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 4
ROU
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
DDR
2 - 0
ALB
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 0
ALB
82%
12%
7%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
FIN
1 - 0
ALB
48%
21%
31%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
DDR
1 - 0
SUN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
DDR
2 - 0
ROU
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1973 |
ISL
0 - 2
DDR
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1973 |
ISL
1 - 2
DDR
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
FIN
1 - 5
DDR
19%
21%
60%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |