Albania vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1965 |
NIR
4 - 1
ALB
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
SUI
1 - 0
ALB
60%
18%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ALB
0 - 2
SUI
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ALB
0 - 2
NED
45%
21%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ALB
2 - 0
ALG
44%
22%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
NIR
3 - 2
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1965 |
NIR
4 - 1
ALB
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
NED
0 - 0
NIR
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1965 |
NIR
0 - 5
WAL
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |