Albania vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
ALB
1 - 1
BGR
14%
22%
64%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
MLT
2 - 1
ALB
47%
25%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
MDA
2 - 3
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 2
GER
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
WAL
0 - 1
GEO
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GER
1 - 1
WAL
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 1
WAL
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |