Albania vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ALB
3 - 0
ALG
50%
23%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 1
CHN
33%
23%
44%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 4
DDR
25%
27%
49%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 0
FIN
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 4
ROU
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1980 |
NOR
6 - 1
FIN
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1980 |
FIN
3 - 0
CRC
35%
25%
39%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 0
IRQ
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
YUG
2 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1980 |
ISL
1 - 1
FIN
46%
22%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |