Albania vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
83.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
14%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 2
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 1
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
AZE
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
LIE
82%
14%
5%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 0
AND
91%
7%
2%
|
94 | 41 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 3
BRA
40%
24%
36%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |