Albania vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
MLT
2 - 1
ALB
47%
25%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
MDA
2 - 3
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
ALB
3 - 0
MDA
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
GER
2 - 1
ALB
94%
5%
1%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 2
GER
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
MDA
0 - 3
BGR
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
MKD
0 - 0
BGR
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 1
WAL
59%
24%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
ARG
4 - 1
BGR
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |