Albania vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.7%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
<0%
+1
2.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
14.2%
83.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
20.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
21.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
25.3%
0-3
15.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.3%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1982 |
ALB
0 - 0
NIR
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
TUR
1 - 0
ALB
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
AUT
5 - 0
ALB
91%
7%
2%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
BRD
8 - 0
ALB
96%
3%
1%
|
65 | 94 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
ALB
0 - 2
BGR
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
POR
1 - 0
BRD
18%
25%
57%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1982 |
NIR
1 - 0
BRD
14%
23%
64%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
ENG
1 - 2
BRD
42%
26%
32%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
BRD
0 - 0
BEL
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1982 |
ITA
3 - 1
BRD
46%
24%
31%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |