Albania vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
TUR
2 - 1
ALB
59%
21%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
POL
3 - 0
ALB
81%
12%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
ALB
0 - 0
BRD
24%
24%
53%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
YUG
4 - 0
ALB
81%
12%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
ALB
0 - 2
YUG
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
YUG
2 - 0
BRD
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
BRD
1 - 1
TUR
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
1 - 0
URU
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
4 - 3
BRD
71%
16%
13%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
BRD
3 - 2
ENG
58%
20%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |