Albania vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
DEN
3 - 1
ALB
79%
16%
6%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
ALB
3 - 2
GEO
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
POL
1 - 0
ALB
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
GRC
2 - 0
ALB
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
TUR
2 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 3
POL
11%
22%
68%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
IRN
2 - 1
AZE
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 0
AZE
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 97 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
POL
8 - 0
AZE
90%
8%
2%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 0
MDA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |