Selbitz vs Weiden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 2
SEL
33%
24%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 2
JFO
28%
23%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
5 - 1
SEL
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
AMM
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
BAY
4 - 0
SEL
71%
17%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Weiden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WEI
0 - 0
ERB
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
WEI
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WEI
0 - 1
ELT
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 0
WEI
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WEI
1 - 0
ERL
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |