Selbitz vs Hollfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JRE
5 - 1
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ERB
1 - 2
SEL
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
SEL
3 - 0
AUB
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ELT
0 - 1
SEL
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 2
AMB
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 2
ERB
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
ELT
17%
21%
63%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 0
HOL
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
ERL
48%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |