Selbitz vs Amberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
SEL
3 - 0
SCH
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DJJ
1 - 1
SEL
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 0
HOL
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SEL
2 - 0
MEM
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
AMB
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Amberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
AMB
3 - 0
KLE
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AMM
0 - 1
AMB
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAY
3 - 2
AMB
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
AMB
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
AMB
6 - 0
NEU
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |