Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-4
Selaya vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
SEL
1 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
BAR
0 - 1
SEL
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
SEL
1 - 1
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
MCU
2 - 0
SEL
44%
27%
29%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SEL
2 - 0
CAY
65%
22%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
LAR
0 - 2
ESC
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
ESC
4 - 1
LAR
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ESC
4 - 0
NOJ
81%
14%
5%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
RAY
1 - 2
ESC
64%
20%
15%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
ESC
2 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |