Selaya vs SD San Martín Arena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
SEL
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SSD
0 - 2
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SEL
2 - 2
ERO
83%
13%
5%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 2
SEL
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SEL
3 - 1
RSC
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD San Martín Arena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 1
CAY
30%
24%
47%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SMA
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
SSD
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ERO
0 - 2
SMA
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
GAM
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |