Selaya vs CD Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TRO
4 - 2
SEL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
SEL
43%
25%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
SEL
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SEL
2 - 0
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 1
GIM
14%
21%
65%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CUL
2 - 0
SDT
37%
25%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 0
CUL
31%
26%
43%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 2
ESC
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |