Selaya vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
BEZ
4 - 1
SEL
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SEL
0 - 2
CUL
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ALB
6 - 1
SEL
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
SEL
54%
22%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SEL
1 - 1
RAY
55%
24%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
CAY
0 - 0
CAS
72%
19%
9%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIM
11%
22%
68%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 1
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
ALB
53%
26%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
RAY
4 - 0
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |