Selaya vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
TEX
3 - 1
SEL
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 0
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAC
4 - 1
SEL
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RAY
2 - 0
SEL
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
REV
24%
25%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 0
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
BUE
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 1
CAS
38%
25%
38%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |