Etimesgut vs Muğlaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
11º
2º
33
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 58 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 18 |
16º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
36.5% | 8% |
|
Next round
|
45% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etimesgut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SIL
0 - 1
SEK
38%
29%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SEK
1 - 0
KEL
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
USA
1 - 1
SEK
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
EYU
4 - 1
SEK
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 2
SEK
18%
27%
55%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Muğlaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MUL
1 - 0
TIR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAY
0 - 3
MUL
33%
22%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUL
1 - 1
YAS
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAZ
1 - 1
MUL
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
MUL
0 - 0
SIL
14%
22%
63%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |