Etimesgut vs Mardin Fosfat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etimesgut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SEK
1 - 0
DUZ
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
SEK
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEK
0 - 2
DEN
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MEN
0 - 2
SEK
68%
19%
12%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SEK
0 - 2
SOM
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mardin Fosfat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MBB
1 - 0
AHP
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KUC
1 - 1
MBB
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MBB
4 - 1
BAT
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +5 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MBB
1 - 1
YOR
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 0
MBB
8%
15%
77%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | -3 |