Etimesgut vs 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
11º
3º
22
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
66% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etimesgut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
USA
1 - 1
SEK
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
EYU
4 - 1
SEK
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 2
SEK
18%
27%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SEK
2 - 2
TUR
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
ANK
1 - 2
SEK
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
1954 Kelkit Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
KEL
0 - 1
TIR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 1
CAY
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
YAS
0 - 0
KEL
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
KEL
2 - 1
MUL
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 1
KEL
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |