Segureña A vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segureña A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CPG
4 - 1
SEG
62%
20%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPR
3 - 2
SEG
49%
22%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SEG
2 - 2
SMA
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 1
GAR
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
SEG
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UCL
2 - 0
SPR
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UCL
4 - 1
GAR
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
UCL
39%
23%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CPO
2 - 2
UCL
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UCL
1 - 1
CPG
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |